8–11 Sept 2026
Unversity of Eldoret
Africa/Nairobi timezone
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Association Between Early-Pregnancy Maternal BMI and Stillbirth Risk: Secondary Analysis of the STRiDE Prospective Cohort in Western Kenya

10 Sept 2026, 10:56
12m
Sosian C (EKA Hotel)

Sosian C

EKA Hotel

Eldoret Town
One Health & Well Being One Health & Well Being

Speaker

A. Kasaya (Academic Model Providing Access to Healthcare (AMPATH), Eldoret, Kenya)

Description

Maternal body mass index (BMI) in early pregnancy is a modifiable determinant of maternal and fetal health. Sub-Saharan Africa faces a dual nutritional burden of persistent undernutrition alongside rising overweight and obesity. In Kenya, where both extremes coexist, the relationship between early-pregnancy BMI and stillbirth risk remains poorly characterised, limiting evidence-based antenatal care. We examined this relationship using the STRiDE (Stratification of Risk of Diabetes in Early Pregnancy) cohort, Eldoret, Kenya. The objective of the study was to examine the association between early-pregnancy BMI category and stillbirth risk, before and after adjustment for maternal and pregnancy-related factors. This secondary analysis of the STRiDE prospective cohort (a multicentre gestational diabetes study; Eldoret, Kenya, April 2015–May 2019) used multivariable logistic regression to assess stillbirth risk by early-pregnancy BMI category, adjusting for maternal age, parity, gestational age at enrollment, and family history of diabetes, hypertension, or gestational diabetes (clustering by recruitment site was negligible, ICC <0.001). Of 4,101 enrolled women, 2,612 (2,533 live births, 79 stillbirths) had complete data and were included. Stillbirth (fetal death at ≥20 weeks gestation) was the primary outcome; BMI was categorised as underweight (<18.5 kg/m²), normal (18.5–24.9 kg/m², reference), overweight (25.0–29.9 kg/m²), or obese (≥30.0 kg/m²). Most participants had a normal BMI (57.7%); 38.3% were overweight/obese, and 4.0% were underweight. Overall, stillbirth prevalence was 3.0%, highest among underweight (5.8%) and overweight women (4.3%) versus normal BMI (2.2%), and 3.4% among obese women. After adjustment, both underweight (aOR 3.29, 95% CI: 1.29–8.36, p=0.01) and overweight (aOR 2.48, 95% CI: 1.37–4.48, p<0.001) were significantly associated with stillbirth; obesity was not (aOR 1.65, 95% CI: 0.68–4.01, p=0.27). Both underweight and overweight, but not obesity, were independently associated with increased stillbirth risk, consistent with a J-shaped relationship between early-pregnancy BMI and stillbirth. Early BMI assessment may help identify women at elevated stillbirth risk in similar LMIC settings.

Keywords Maternal BMI, stillbirth, Kenya; antenatal care, LMICs

Authors

A. Kasaya (Academic Model Providing Access to Healthcare (AMPATH), Eldoret, Kenya) J. Koech (University of Eldoret, Kenya) A. Otieno (University of Eldoret, Kenya) J.N. Hector (Academic Model Providing Access to Healthcare (AMPATH), Eldoret, Kenya) A. Christoffersen-Deb (Academic Model Providing Access to Healthcare (AMPATH), Eldoret, Kenya) S. Pastakia (Purdue University, West Lafayette, Indiana, USA) P. Saravanan (The University of Warwick, Coventry, United Kingdom) W. Kosgei (Moi University College of Health Sciences, Eldoret, Kenya)

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